Independent Strategy

Tags: Germany

Germany

POST » 24th June, 2019 » Germany June IFO Survey

The survey data still continues to paint a rather bleak picture for German industry with the expectations component taking a renewed step lower in June and while current conditions were a shade better than expected together this marked a new low point in this leg of the cycle for the overall climate index.

Germany

POST » 7th June, 2019 » Germany April Production

April turned out to be another poor month for German industry with the decline in overall industrial production fairly modest compared to the drop on the manufacturing side, where output dropped 2.5% on the month leaving output down 3.4% y/y.

Deterioration continues to run at pace, with some rebound in domestic demand failing to offset continuing weakness on the export side.  The release points to a further deterioration in exports in the coming months, although the decline in industrial production is running more closely, suggesting that a further downward adjustment/slump is not needed there.

Germany

POST » 25th March, 2019 » March Germany IFO Survey

While there looks to have been an improvement in March it’s generally led by a better services performance.  Looking at industry the trajectory remains weak with the ‘IFO clock’ remaining in downswing territory amid a further mild deterioration in expectations.  This continues to suggest ongoing manufacturing weakness, confirming the deterioration seen in the manufacturing PMI.

Special Post: Umbrella Idea

REPORT » 11th January, 2019 » Special Post: Umbrella IdeaEnd of the ICE age

There have been various points of blame for weak auto sales. The most under-appreciated input has been technological innovation, as…

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