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Independent Strategy adds value to its clients by seeking out investment themes and opportunities in Macro Investments, often challenging conventional wisdom.
Too often investment research is constrained by the narrow focus of the research provider, but we seek to create a cohesive global view. We are compact and flexible enough to respond quickly to an ever-changing investment scene.
The research is designed to benefit both short-term and longer-term strategic thinking. It carefully studies geo-political and economic events, while looking for breaks in historical trends to uncover investment opportunities.
RESEARCH
We produce 60-70 reports a year on investment strategy, dealing with multiple investment topics. The scope of the research is global.
PORTFOLIO ADVISORY
After due consultation with the client, we devise a dedicated investment benchmark and country allocation policy for a portfolio of assets.
ALTERNATIVE INVESTMENTS
Alternative investments are becoming an increasingly important part of institutional investors’ portfolios.
Latest Reports
Grains – long term bullish but standing aside for now
We reduced our longs in grains last month following the agreement between Russia and Ukraine to allow the shipment of…
Russian gas – can the EU beat Putin’s blockade?
Against the consensus, we reckon that the EU may well have enough gas supply over the coming winter and beyond…
China-Taiwan – Anatomy of a crisis
China is currently de facto blockading Taiwan. Our reading is that the PLA announcement of further manoeuvres in Bohai and…
Grains – long term bullish but standing aside for now
We reduced our longs in grains last month following the agreement between Russia and Ukraine to allow the shipment of Ukraine wheat exports. However, world grain supply remains tight; and stocks are historically low. We expect prices to resume a steady upward trend. For the moment, however, we are not restoring our longs until upcoming harvests and the prospects of war disruption are clearer.
SUBSCRIBE TO DOWNLOAD REPORTSRussian gas – can the EU beat Putin’s blockade?
Against the consensus, we reckon that the EU may well have enough gas supply over the coming winter and beyond to defeat Putin’s weaponisation of energy. By the same token, the EU’s centrifugal forces surrounding energy and gas in particular are likely to be less potent. As such, we would go short EU natural gas prices from here.
SUBSCRIBE TO DOWNLOAD REPORTSChina-Taiwan – Anatomy of a crisis
China is currently de facto blockading Taiwan. Our reading is that the PLA announcement of further manoeuvres in Bohai and the Yellow Sea mark a ratcheting down of the blockade to a more local basis and less of an encirclement of Taiwan. We have no exposure to Mainland China assets. We are short RMB against a basket of currencies.
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