Google’s mobility update (to 1st May) paints a bit more of a mixed picture of the immediate recovery, even if on a global basis the overall trend is still upward. Indeed, in our sample a majority of countries stepped back over the past week.
Chart pack and analysis attached.
Analysing the weekly vaccinations data some things stand out:
- Daily infections are falling everywhere except in South Asia (+18% on the week to 384k/day).
- EU daily infections are down 19% for last week (vs. previous seven days).
- Global vaccinations are up 14% on the week. Some signs of vaccine fatigue in the US (+8%) & UK (+6%).
- The EU crossed (what I think is a critical) threshold of 30 vaccinations per 100 population with 33. Share of the population with 1 shot or more is 24% up from 21%.