In the Media : Independent Strategy

Latest|Boris Johnson’s Brexit proposal is ‘unlikely to work’-CNBC

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Boris Johnson’s Brexit proposal is ‘unlikely to work’-David Roche-CNBC-03/10/19

China will win the trade war-David Roche-CNBC-09/09/19

Globalisation has peaked, and it started before Trump-David Roche-CNBC-30/04/19

Technology is going through a ‘decanonization’-David Roche-CNBC-29/01/19

David Roche talks about Death of Democracy-David Roche talks to Noreen Mir at RTHK Radio 3 about his new book - Death of Democracy-David Roche-RTHK Radio 3-28/11/18

The trade war is a ‘multiyear trend’-David Roche-CNBC-19/11/18

China’s economy will succeed or fail on tech drive-David Roche-CNBC-09/11/18

The sharp fall in equities was a ‘trailer’ to the main show-David Roche-CNBC-07/02/18

We’re all tired of experts-David Roche-CNBC-22/07/17

Italy the key domino in Europe-David Roche-CNBC-02/01/17

What will it take to fix Italy’s banks-David Roche-CNBC Europe-02/08/16

US could see 3% growth in H2-David Roche-CNBC Asia-31/05/16

What are the risks weighing on the markets-David Roche-Bloomberg Television-27/05/16

Fed’s Yellen will run out of excuses-David Roche-CNBC Asia-03/05/16

The long and the short challenges facing oil markets-David Roche discusses the outlook for oil prices (Bloomberg, 26th April 2016)-David Roche-Bloomberg Television-26/04/16

Will Greece and Eurogroup ever agree-Bob McKee-CNBC-23/04/15

Roche Says China Growth May Fall to 4% on Bank Crisis-Jan. 9 (Bloomberg) -- David Roche, president of Independent Strategy and a former Morgan Stanley global strategist, talks about the outlook for the European debt crisis, and its impact on emerging stock and commodity markets. Roche speaks with Rishaad Salamat and Susan Li on Bloomberg Television's "Asia Edge."-David Roche-Bloomberg Television-09/01/12

Roche Says U.S. on Same Fiscal Trajectory as Greece-Sept. 19 (Bloomberg) -- David Roche, president of Independent Strategy and a former Morgan Stanley global strategist, talks about the outlook for U.S. and Greece debt problems and his investment strategy. Roche speaks with Rishaad Salamat on Bloomberg Television's "Asia Edge."-David Roche-Bloomberg Television-19/09/11

Roche: China Won’t Allow Yuan Appreciation-The Chinese authorities won't allow the yuan to appreciate over the next year or so, says David Roche, global strategist at Independent Strategy Ltd. He explains why to CNBC's Karen Tso & Sri Jegarajah.-David Roche-CNBC-10/11/09

David Roche on Asia’s coming crisis-David Roche-Thomas Crampton-30/10/08

MACRO MATTERS

12th November, 2019 » TechnicalsIS Weekly Technicals – 12th November

Chart pack and analysis attached.

12th November, 2019 » MacroChina October Money Supply & Credit

Quite a slowdown in credit growth during October, certainly compared to the rate we saw last year. While the trend for shadow sector deleveraging continues there was also quite a sharp slowing of bank loans. Corporate bond issuance remained muted while there was a pronounced deceleration in the ‘other’ category, which now encompasses local government bond issuance.

6th November, 2019 » MacroUS Q3 (Prelim) Productivity

A rather disappointing first assessment of US productivity in the third quarter. Non-farm productivity registered the first qoq decline since the end of 2015. On the positive side the yoy rate still looks a reasonable 1.4%, compared to a 5-year average of 1.1%, but the trend still lacks much conviction. Really, we’re still flatlining at best. Labour costs were stronger than expected, rising at a 3.6% annualised rate in the non-farm sector overall. That’ll raise the heckles of the hawks that view the tight labour market as a risk.

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