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Roche Says China Growth May Fall to 4% on Bank Crisis-Jan. 9 (Bloomberg) -- David Roche, president of Independent Strategy and a former Morgan Stanley global strategist, talks about the outlook for the European debt crisis, and its impact on emerging stock and commodity markets. Roche speaks with Rishaad Salamat and Susan Li on Bloomberg Television's "Asia Edge."-David Roche-Bloomberg Television-09/01/12

Roche Says U.S. on Same Fiscal Trajectory as Greece-Sept. 19 (Bloomberg) -- David Roche, president of Independent Strategy and a former Morgan Stanley global strategist, talks about the outlook for U.S. and Greece debt problems and his investment strategy. Roche speaks with Rishaad Salamat on Bloomberg Television's "Asia Edge."-David Roche-Bloomberg Television-19/09/11

Roche: China Won’t Allow Yuan Appreciation-The Chinese authorities won't allow the yuan to appreciate over the next year or so, says David Roche, global strategist at Independent Strategy Ltd. He explains why to CNBC's Karen Tso & Sri Jegarajah.-David Roche-CNBC-10/11/09

MACRO MATTERS

US

4th December, 2020 » US November Payrolls Report

November Non-farm payrolls number came in at +245k (mkt +469k), bringing the 3m average down to +5227k.  Private sector payrolls were a little better again at +344k but there is a sequential slowdown happening there too.  Manufacturing payrolls grew by 27k while we saw another month of government job losses, -99k, the third consecutive drop.  Revisions overall were down a bit, Oct NFP revised down to 610k vs. the 638k initially reported.

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Global

2nd December, 2020 » US catching up with Europe’s down

The Google mobility indicators show a further decline in both mobility and economic activity over the past week.  The dip perhaps overstates the scale of the drop with US Thanksgiving holiday (which generated a bump in activity going into the holiday, and dip during and after) combining with tougher localised restrictions there.  The story in Europe was better.

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Technicals

1st December, 2020 » IS Weekly Technicals – 1st December

Chart pack and analysis attached.

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