Independent Strategy

In the Media

Latest|Redline Money Mixdown — Episode 9: Climate promises, all smoke?

Carolyn Wright, David Roche and Richard Harris are joined by Nick Kennedy to discuss Earth Day and the recent climate summit and what these promises mean.

RedLine Money takes the expertise of David Roche and Richard Harris as they talk markets, prices, bubbles, and busts — and some even more interesting topics!

Where is your Red Line?  No losses?  Make as much as inflation?  Or make as much money as you can?  How much pain can you take? Investors need to find out what their red line is — and how it moves.  The RedLine Money podcast can help you find it.

David and Richard have nearly a century between them of searching for the Red Line in bull markets and bear.  Hear what the crowd isn’t saying about current markets and price moves.  In the long term, and even longer — back to the Egyptians.  See markets as an engineering system, a biological organism, or as the behaviour of sub-atomic particles.  You don’t get this from anywhere else.  You know it makes sense.

David Roche, Independent Strategy Ltd

Richard Harris, Port Shelter Investment Management

Carolyn Wright (moderator)

RedLine Money is produced weekly in Hong Kong.

Music by TimMoor from Pixabay

In the Media|Archive
Viewing 51 - 64 of 64

Roche Says China Growth May Fall to 4% on Bank Crisis-Jan. 9 (Bloomberg) -- David Roche, president of Independent Strategy and a former Morgan Stanley global strategist, talks about the outlook for the European debt crisis, and its impact on emerging stock and commodity markets. Roche speaks with Rishaad Salamat and Susan Li on Bloomberg Television's "Asia Edge."-David Roche-Bloomberg Television-09/01/12

Roche Says U.S. on Same Fiscal Trajectory as Greece-Sept. 19 (Bloomberg) -- David Roche, president of Independent Strategy and a former Morgan Stanley global strategist, talks about the outlook for U.S. and Greece debt problems and his investment strategy. Roche speaks with Rishaad Salamat on Bloomberg Television's "Asia Edge."-David Roche-Bloomberg Television-19/09/11

Roche: China Won’t Allow Yuan Appreciation-The Chinese authorities won't allow the yuan to appreciate over the next year or so, says David Roche, global strategist at Independent Strategy Ltd. He explains why to CNBC's Karen Tso & Sri Jegarajah.-David Roche-CNBC-10/11/09

MACRO MATTERS

Global

5th May, 2021 » Fast Track Data — A pause for some thought, but uptrend remains

Google’s mobility update (to 1st May) paints a bit more of a mixed picture of the immediate recovery, even if on a global basis the overall trend is still upward.  Indeed, in our sample a majority of countries stepped back over the past week.

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Technicals

4th May, 2021 » IS Weekly Technicals — 4th May

Chart pack and analysis attached.

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Global

4th May, 2021 » Covid-19: Vaccination rates hit key levels in Europe

Analysing the weekly vaccinations data some things stand out:

  1. Daily infections are falling everywhere except in South Asia (+18% on the week to 384k/day).
  2. EU daily infections are down 19% for last week (vs. previous seven days).
  3. Global vaccinations are up 14% on the week. Some signs of vaccine fatigue in the US (+8%) & UK (+6%).
  4. The EU crossed (what I think is a critical) threshold of 30 vaccinations per 100 population with 33. Share of the population with 1 shot or more is 24% up from 21%.

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