Independent Strategy

From Russia with War

Mostly and most investors view geopolitical events as of little relevance to economies and markets. In the case (60% probability) of Russia invading Ukraine this is wrong. Geopolitical rubber then hits the economic road. The effects would be as a supply-side shock, a demand hit (confidence) and through the banking system. There would lasting effects on economies in terms of inflation, margins, size of government and productivity.

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