Independent Strategy

Israel & Iran – the proxy veil is rent

The attack rents the veil of proxy war between Israel & Iran. The gloves are off!

The Proxy veil of war between Israel & Iran is rent by Iran’s attack on Israel. The attack is serious escalation, even if relatively unsuccessful. Israel is done fighting Iranian proxies. Iran is now directly in the cross hairs.

Israeli retaliation is likely to be limited to targets like Islamic Revolutionary Guards (IRGC) assets and avoid attacking Iran’s nuclear facilities or its energy production infrastructure. A simultaneous full-blown Israeli attack on Hezbollah cannot be ruled out but may stretch Israel’s air assets that are needed to retaliate directly on Iran.

Risks of contagion if Iran’s nuclear or economic (oil) assets are targeted include further escalation of Middle East war and closure of Straits of Hormuz.

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