Independent Strategy

The forward Corona curve

The rates of Covid-19 new daily infections are starting to roll over. Over Easter globally there were around 70k new cases reported each day compared to ~86k at the peak. There is no doubt that the lockdown and social distancing measures imposed by governments across the world, particularly in the EU, are the major cause of the drop in daily infections. But such measures simply reduce, for as long as they last, the reinfection rate This makes it tempting to declare that the pandemic is on the wane. If it is how much of the Covid-19 damage would remain as a permanent influence?

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