Independent Strategy

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The following pages contain chronological lists of articles that have been written by Independent Strategy. Independent Strategy’s research is available by annual subscription. For details of subscription rates and soft dollar payments, please contact Independent Strategy by using the contact form.

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Global

16th June, 2021 » The virtuous game  NEW

While the green revolution continues to gather steam, there is still a high degree of procrastination going on. The radical…

Global

3rd June, 2021 » Testing prejudice  NEW

Some things are clear. Lasting stimulus, particularly in the US, will keep demand above what the supply-side was traditionally capable…

Global

1st June, 2021 » What we are doing  NEW

It may be useful to set down our major recommendations and how they have changed recently. We have switched on…

Global

1st April, 2021 » Addicted to stuff

People obsess about post-Covid debt. But the reality, as the pandemic begins to wane, is that private sector balance sheets…

Europe

12th March, 2021 » Lagarde unleashed

The ECB might not have changed policy rates or increased its QE programme, but the significance of yesterday’s policy tweaks…

Germany

10th March, 2021 » Green power

Germany’s Green party looks set to be the big winner of upcoming state elections. The outcome may also influence the…

Global

3rd March, 2021 » How things connect

Policy normalisation is a great post-Covid challenge. It will be forced on policy makers by markets, rather than being an…

Global

16th February, 2021 » Herding cats

Putting all my asset allocation ideas together is just that: herding cats. They do not hang together with the seamless…

Italy

14th February, 2021 » Enter the dragon

With Draghi running the country, Italy will be led by a heavyweight. He is highly respected on the global scene…

Global

29th January, 2021 » Vaccine wars

Equities are the most vulnerable asset class to vaccine wars. The euro is perhaps the most vulnerable rich-country currency. All…

Global

18th January, 2021 » More Covid bore

Markets care about stimulus but not much about Covid. They look through the Covid data. But this is wrong. Covid…

Special Report: Commodities

18th January, 2021 » Special Report: CommoditiesBuying food

The latest WASDE report by the US Department of Agriculture supports our long position in wheat. There is further upside…

Global

13th January, 2021 » Surprise surprise

There will rarely be a year when macro events hold greater sway. Our macro outlook: US 10-year Treasury yields will…

Germany

12th January, 2021 » The end is nigh

This week kicks off a momentous political year in Germany, culminating in the federal election in September and subsequent retirement…

In the Media