Independent Strategy

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The following pages contain chronological lists of articles that have been written by Independent Strategy. Independent Strategy’s research is available by annual subscription. For details of subscription rates and soft dollar payments, please contact Independent Strategy by using the contact form.

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Global

20th January, 2023 » Step on the gas  NEW

We are long oil. The oil price is likely to get to USD120/bbl by mid-2023 and average USD140 bbl in…

Global

15th December, 2022 » Three in one

The Fed, the ECB, and the BoE all increased their policy interest rates by 50bp. That was as expected. Relative…

Global

5th December, 2022 » Done wandering

Wandering through Ukraine, Saudi Arabia, China, Iran, Russia, the EU and the future: reconstruction for Ukraine; Saudi-China alliance; China’s COVID…

Global

4th November, 2022 » Oil to boil

We are adding long oil to the portfolio again. This report explains why. Russia will disrupt the oil market rather…

UK

27th September, 2022 » In Truss no trust

Our short sterling position is now closed. GBP has hit our USD1.05 target. Now it is about 3c above that…

Italy

26th September, 2022 » Buongiorno Giorgia!

Giorgia Meloni scored a spectacular electoral victory in Italy. Italians have the first directly elected government in a decade with…

Global

7th September, 2022 » The deciders

This report is about reconciling the historical predictors of doom with the concept of what could go right. It introduces…

China

25th August, 2022 » The China conundrum

China’s debt problems persist and are increasingly evident in the housing market. While this is unlikely to lead to immediate…

Italy

20th July, 2022 » Farewell Draghi

Italy’s PM Mario Draghi is resigning after losing the support of parties in the governing coalition. This will hit Italian…

Political positioning has already begun ahead of Italy’s parliamentary elections next Spring. After a long-running feud within Italy’s Five Star…

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