Independent Strategy

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The following pages contain chronological lists of articles that have been written by Independent Strategy. Independent Strategy’s research is available by annual subscription. For details of subscription rates and soft dollar payments, please contact Independent Strategy by using the contact form.

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Global

13th May, 2024 » 3 in 1

Fragmentation of trade and world order go hand in hand and are set to worsen. China will not help the…

Japan

19th March, 2024 » BoJ – as expected

Bullish our positions long Yen, short JGB and long Japanese equities (focus on bank stocks, hi-tech, autos). If anything the…

Global

30th January, 2024 » Four calls

We are staying out of Chinese equities; switching from agro to industrial metals; long oil and gas; and holding defence…

Global

28th November, 2023 » Dearly beloved …

The new doctrine of self-exoneration and supply-side inflation guilt means that central bankers will not raise rates any more and…

Global

24th November, 2023 » Double Dutch

The victory of Geert Wilders’ Freedom Party (PVV) in this week’s Netherlands election follows a familiar pattern. Electorates across Europe…

Global

27th October, 2023 » Dark clouds

Our forecast has been for a long war of attrition with Ukraine holding its own and wearing down the Russians.…

China

15th August, 2023 » Debt inflation

China’s property sector implosion is worsening and credit growth is falling. The economy is entering a debt deflation trap. We…

Global

25th July, 2023 » It’s not Goldilocks

Are the developed economies entering a ‘sweet spot’, a Goldilocks economy where ‘normal’ inflation resumes, interest rates fall, economic growth…

Spain

24th July, 2023 » Spanish fandango

Spain’s snap election over the weekend proved inconclusive. While the centre-right Partido Popular came out on top they failed to…

Global

17th July, 2023 » Weighing wheat

It looks like this time Putin may be serious about pulling out of the grain deal. Together with El Nino/global…

In the Media