Independent Strategy

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The following pages contain chronological lists of articles that have been written by Independent Strategy. Independent Strategy’s research is available by annual subscription. For details of subscription rates and soft dollar payments, please contact Independent Strategy by using the contact form.

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Global

18th December, 2018 » Star Wars

America’s trade conflict with China reflects two things. First, the angst of a declining US power. Second, the ego-centric conflict…

Eurozone

14th December, 2018 » Europe adrift

Europe is suffering from a noxious combination of slowing growth and rising political risk. It also has a central bank…

UK

16th November, 2018 » Mediocrity exposed

This is not a report that tries to divine its way through the UK’s shambolic political scene. Instead, it examines…

Italy

14th September, 2018 » Rejecting reality

Rising bond yields might have forced the populist Italian government to moderate its tone ahead of next year’s budget, but…

Special Report: Umbrella Idea

3rd August, 2018 » Special Report: Umbrella IdeaTechnology – saviour or curse?

It’s undeniable that we’re living in an epoch of technological transformation. And one that is unprecedented in history. With the…

Japan

17th July, 2018 » Behind the Shōji

The buoyant Japanese labour market is finally generating some wage pressure. But Japanese demographics have created a structural demand deficit…

Iran

11th May, 2018 » Back to the brink

President Trump’s withdrawal from the Iranian nuclear deal was expected, but that doesn’t make it less of a gamble. The…

Global

9th April, 2018 » Carry on?

The merits of our carry trade basket have faded over the past 12 months. There remains a yield pick-up in…

US

1st March, 2018 » Debt and the dollar

The tax reform bill and fiscally expansive budget will boost GDP in the shorter-run, but the changes don’t do much…

Italy

14th February, 2018 » Scooting the wave

The Italian elections are unlikely to deliver a thumping victory to any party. That’ll leave a government with a weak…

Germany

13th February, 2018 » When needs must

To remain as German Chancellor for another term, Angela Merkel has had to make serious concessions. The most important of…

Global

8th February, 2018 » The devil’s advocate

We believe that the major global determinants of secular inflation (globalisation, technology, demography) will continue to hold price growth down.…

Global

7th February, 2018 » Fire drill

A spike in market volatility isn’t surprising. But it’s not the start of a more pronounced meltdown. Markets will recover…

Global

23rd January, 2018 » Escaping the hydra

There seems to be almost universal acceptance that central banks have created a liquidity bubble. And the logic goes that,…

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